Astros in Fantasy: Fantasy Picks of the Week Volume 15
A Look at Fantasy Baseball Through the Lens’ of an Astros Fan
Here is how I did in Week 14:
Week 14 Hitter:
George Springer– 7/24 H/AB, 4 R, 1 HR, 2 RBI, 0 SB, .292 BA
In a week where Astros fans rushed to their phones and furiously voted for their beloved right fielder, Springer did what he did best, create opportunities at the top of the lineup. In his seven games before the All-Star break, he hit .292 with a .912 OPS.
More from Climbing Tal's Hill
- Just how much better is the Houston Astros playoff rotation than the rest?
- Houston Astros: A Lineup Change to Spark Offense
- Astros prospect Hunter Brown throws 6 shutout innings in debut
- Always faithful Astros World Series champion Josh Reddick defends the title
- Michael Conforto declines Astros’ 2-year, $30 million offer
Springer has been much better leading off in the Astros lineup. One of the unusual perks that Springer has, as a leadoff man, is the power in his bat. With a .484 slugging percentage batting first, this week, Springer had a .542 slugging percentage with three extra-base hits, including a home run.
With his pop, Springer sets the offensive tone for the rest of the lineup. He was driven in four times in the past seven games.
After a horrible month of June, Springer’s bat has come back to life. In his 34 at bats in July, he is hitting .294 with a .944 OPS. He also has four extra-base hits, including two home runs, and has been driven in eight times.
After the seven successful games against Oakland and Seattle, Springer will travel to both of the cities to play both respective teams again out of the All-Star break. Even though Springer has regressed a little in away ballparks, hitting only .242 with a .756 OPS, he will need to step up to the plate for the Astros to take some of those games on the road.
If Springer continues to lead off, he will provide fantasy owners with runs at a steady pace. He also seems to be stepping up in the power department as well. Look out for Springer to be on fire to start the second half of the season.
Week 14 Pitcher:
Lance McCullers– 11 IP, 12 H, 4 ER, 5 BB, 16 K, 1 W, 3.27 ERA, 1.55 WHIP
Both the positives and negatives of McCullers’ 2016 season were shown in his first two starts in July.
In both starts, McCullers continued to baffle hitters with a three-pitch arsenal of a four-seam fastball, a knuckle curveball, and a changeup. In his 11 innings of work this week, he struck out 16 batters, increasing his strikeout average to 11.37 per nine innings.
More from Astros News
- Just how much better is the Houston Astros playoff rotation than the rest?
- Houston Astros: A Lineup Change to Spark Offense
- Astros prospect Hunter Brown throws 6 shutout innings in debut
- Always faithful Astros World Series champion Josh Reddick defends the title
- Michael Conforto declines Astros’ 2-year, $30 million offer
However, hitters continued to find their way on base against him. He gave up 12 hits and walked five in his 11 innings. This increased his WHIP to 1.65 and his hit and walk averages to 9.5 and 5.4 per nine innings respectively.
Clearly with nasty stuff that can get hitters out, McCullers needs to figure out how to limit the number of runners on base. However, with some runners on base, he did not allow many to score, giving up only four earned runs.
His lack of control has affected his innings pitched. In his final start before the All-Star break, McCullers only threw four innings before he was pulled. He threw 92 pitches in that start. That was his first start since May 13th, his first start in 2016, that he went five innings or less in a start.
If McCullers can reign in his pitches to limit his pitch count and to limit the number of runners on-base whether it is through base hits or walks, McCullers could be a huge pick up in the second half for a fantasy playoff run.
Next: Now on to Week 15
Week 15 Hitter-
A.J. Reed (Owned in 11.6% of ESPN Fantasy leagues)
This is a make it or break it series for Reed’s 2016. With the signing of Cuban third baseman Yulieski Gurriel, Luis Valbuena will now probably primarily play at first base. With that said, if Reed wants to stay in a big league uniform for the rest of the season, he will have to earn his spot this weekend at Seattle.
More from Climbing Tal's Hill
- Just how much better is the Houston Astros playoff rotation than the rest?
- Houston Astros: A Lineup Change to Spark Offense
- Astros prospect Hunter Brown throws 6 shutout innings in debut
- Always faithful Astros World Series champion Josh Reddick defends the title
- Michael Conforto declines Astros’ 2-year, $30 million offer
In his 35 at bats, Reed is hitting .143 with a .558 OPS. He has shown glimpses of the power that everyone talked about, hitting two home runs and driving in four in his first 13 games.
However, his plate discipline has been absolutely atrocious. In his 41 at bats, he already has struck out 16 times. That amounts to 39% of his plate appearances. That overshadows his 12.2% walk percentage, which is his highest since he was at Single-A Lancaster.
Reed was not ready for the majors when he got called up. He did not fix his offensive problems at Fresno before he got here, like hitting against southpaws and his strikeout percentage. However, now that he is up, if the Astros send him back down, the second ranked prospect in the system will possibly be viewed as a bust to the fickle Astros fans and fantasy owners.
To be a successful series, Reed needs to show some consistency for fantasy owners to earn a spot. If he earns an at-bat tonight against the Mariners’ starter James Paxton or any other left-handed pitcher, Reed needs to rise to the occasion and battle in those at-bats.
His talent is undeniable. His fantasy worth in 2016, however, is up in the air. We will see this weekend if he is worth the pickup.
Next: Week 15 Pitcher
Week 15 Pitcher-
Collin McHugh (Owned in 36.4% of ESPN Fantasy leagues)
As I wrote about in the Astros in Fantasy: First Half Recap, McHugh has been consistently better after the All-Star break in his Astros career. He couldn’t have asked for a better opponent to start off his second half.
More from Astros News
- Just how much better is the Houston Astros playoff rotation than the rest?
- Houston Astros: A Lineup Change to Spark Offense
- Astros prospect Hunter Brown throws 6 shutout innings in debut
- Always faithful Astros World Series champion Josh Reddick defends the title
- Michael Conforto declines Astros’ 2-year, $30 million offer
This season, McHugh has had two very good starts against the Mariners. In his two starts, he has given up three earned runs on ten hits in 12 innings. Winning both of those outings, McHugh walked only two and struck out eight in those two starts.
Those starts show that he can limit the number of runners he allows on base. With a very high 1.46 WHIP this season, that should be good news for fantasy owners. This start could start the trend for McHugh’s second half of 2016.
The only two problems in McHugh’s way are the Mariners’ best two hitters. In 28 at bats, star second baseman Robinson Cano is hitting .321 with two home runs and seven RBIs against him. Also, Cruz is hitting .308 with two home runs and three RBIs in 13 at-bats against the right-hander.
Next: Astros' Alex Bregman: The SEC Shortstop Rivalry Continues
To become the pitcher to watch out for in the second half as I predicted, McHugh has to come out to a stellar start against the Mariners. Fantasy owners should take a gamble on Sunday afternoon’s start by McHugh.
***Stats provided by MLB.com, Baseball Reference, and FanGraphs***