One more thing to think about — if Alvarez had 24 more plate appearances to tie Judge’s amount, the Astro would be projected to hit possibly two to three more home runs — as Alvarez averages a home run every eight plate appearances. Then the race looks even closer with Alvarez boasting 19 long balls to Judge’s 21.
Of course, that is simply on paper, and in the beautiful game of baseball, anything can happen on the field. As the summer progresses, the AL MVP race — much like the weather — is going to heat up.
It’s not out of the realm of possibility that either player could wind up chasing 60 homers at the end of the season if they keep producing at such a high level of efficiency. However, one thing is for certain — the race is on.