Astros: 3 options for left-handed relievers as Blake Taylor struggles
What options should the Astros look at if they decide to make a move with a left-handed reliever?
After coming over from the New York Mets system in the Jake Marisnick trade, Blake Taylor made himself a valuable left-handed bullpen option for the Houston Astros in the pandemic-shortened 2020 season.
Originally a second-round pick of the Pittsburgh Pirates in 2013 from Dana Hills High in Dana Point, California, Taylor made the most of his opportunity with the Astros. Appearing in 22 games and covering 20.2 innings, Taylor struck out 17 and gave up only 13 hits while registering an ERA of 2.18, five holds, a save and a blown save.
Taylor’s fastball, which he threw 76.5% of the time, averaged 93.7 mph and baffled hitters to the tune of a .120 batting average, while the then 24 -year-old had the look of a left-handed reliever that could hang around Houston for quite a while.
While that’s still a possibility, in the two years since, Taylor’s fastball velocity has dropped to 93.1 in 2021 and 92.5 in 2022, while the batting average against the pitch has risen to .216 in 2021 to .244 this season.
Taylor’s ERA has ballooned due to a bad outing in Washington, where he gave up four runs in an inning and he was ineffective Sunday against the Rangers, leaving his ERA at 6.14 for the month of May.
The Astros have a plethora of center fielders both in Houston and in Sugar Land, plus other assets that could be used as bait for a deal. Let’s explore some options.
Brad Hand signed a one-year, $6 million contract with the Philadelphia Phillies in the offseason and is pitching well in the National League.
In 18 appearances, Hand is 1-1 with a 1.59 ERA. A three-pitch hurler, Hand relies on his slider almost 50% of the time and opponents are batting only .182 on the pitch which has a 30.3% put away rate.
Hand has not given up a run in his last eight appearances, but walks are a huge concern as he’s in the third percentile in the league in walks. Not good at all.
The good news is that Hand is not a longterm commitment as his contract expires at the end of the season. The bad news is he walks hitters and hasn’t been particularly effective at getting left-handers out.
Andrew Chafin signed a two-year deal with the Detroit Tigers for $13 million that would leave the Astros on the hook for the rest of 2022 and all $7 million for 2023.
Chafin’s had 12 appearances, totaling only 9.1 innings on the season but has been equally effective against batters on both sides of the plate. Also a three pitch pitcher, Chafin’s put away pitch has been his slider, which he throws 26% of the time and opponents are hitting .133 on.
Chafin has only faced 40 batters on the season, but the good news is he’s only walked two.
As long as we’re dreaming here, let’s include Taylor Rogers in this equation. With the Padres a game and a half behind the Dodgers, they’re not trading their closer right now and with Fernando Tatis, Jr. coming back relatively soon, this may be a no-go for the duration.
But the Padres, with or without Tatis, Jr., have a history of fading down the stretch and Rogers is a free agent at season’s end. Even if it’s not logical in the moment, things can change and we should never say never.
When you compare Rogers’ salary ($7.3 million) and production to the others in this analysis, he stands out as the obvious choice. Batters are hitting a puny .077 against Roger’s devastating slider that includes 14.8 inches of break on average.
Rogers has 16 saves in 17 opportunities, a 0.92 WHIP against lefties and an even lower WHIP against right handers. We’ve presented two mediocre option and one that seems like a dream. There has to be something else, right?
Unheralded Parker Mushinski didn’t look like a guy who was scared of the bright lights in his brief time with the Astros this season.
Mushinski has pitched in five games, covering 5.1 innings and has a 5.06 ERA with an xERA of 3.61.
Mushinski didn’t exactly dominate left-handers in his time with the Astros, but since his return to Sugar Land on May 5, he hasn’t given up an earned run in seven appearances, compiled a 0.71 WHIP and .125 opponents batting average.
One trade option is definitely and upgrade — Rogers — but is likely one that’s either not on the market or will be too expensive for the Astros’ taste. The others would be marginal improvements, but I’d be willing to listen on Chafin, depending on the cost.
With Taylor’s metrics trending in the wrong direction and Mushinski holding left-handed batters to a .154 average and 0.82 WHIP one has to wonder if it’s just a matter of time before the Astros braintrust decides to make a move.
The games in May and June mean just as much as those in August and September in the standings, but this is the time of year for a young internal candidate could get his feet underneath him, get used to big league life and prepare to contribute down the stretch.