Houston Astros: Trend – Who’s Hot, Who’s Not – Vol 2
The Houston Astros went through some serious murky waters in early April. After a disastrous early road trip, our Astros came back home having lost 9 of 10 with a bench of key players missing time. It seemed like Oakland would never lose again and the division was slipping away quickly, then I remembered – it’s only April.
Just as the worries were piling up, Houston found their groove again. The Astros pummeled the Angels on YouTubeTV in route to winning three out of four in that series, followed by a nice series win over the Mariners.
Houston continued those winning ways out onto the road this past weekend, winning two out of three against the Rays in Tropicana Field, a place where Houston never seems to play well. Having now won 7 out of 10, Houston looks to be back into the mix for the AL West title with momentum pointing upward.
The Houston Astros, we all know and love, seem to be back.
Team Trend
The Astros offense is chugging right along, despite a recent drop off in power. Over the past 15 days, the Astros are 16th in team OPS and 7th in team batting average. However, Houston is only 29th in home runs during this period – (eight HRs in 13 games). The lack of Home Runs might just be a combination of guys missing time (Jose Altuve and Yordan Alvarez), guys in slumps (Kyle Tucker) and particular pitching matchups, but Houston should be able to raise their power levels with a long homestand coming up.
The key to the Astros getting back on track has been the turnaround with the pitching. Houston is third in WHIP and ERA over the past two weeks, and have not given up more than five runs over the past 10 games. The Astros are still in the top 10 in both ERA and WHIP during clutch time (seventh inning or later), which signals that our bullpen is shaping into form. This is encouraging considering the dumpster-fire start the bullpen showed us early on.
All in all, the Astros are riding the wave of steady momentum. If they can pick up the offensive power and maintain their pitching, Houston could really gain some ground on Oakland with this upcoming 10-game homestand.
Who’s Hot
Michael Brantley
Brantley is on fire, but it’s a little underwhelming. The left-hander is slashing .375 over the past two weeks (18-48) with six doubles and four multi-hit games. However, he also has no HRs and only two RBIs to his name during this time. Hey, I’m not complaining – Brantley is getting knocks and getting on base. But I’d be nice to leverage Brantley’s .330 BA and clutch hitting into more runs and power for this ball club.
The good thing is that I don’t think he’ll cool off anytime soon. Brantley is hitting .365 against RHP this year, and the Yankees have plenty of righty pitchers – Gerrit Cole, Domingo Germain, Chad Green – that should see plenty of him this week.
Cristian Javier
Javier gave up a back-breaking three run home run on Sunday to Austin Meadows, which stinks. However, those three runs were the only runs Javier has given up recently. Javier is 3-0 in his last four starts, with a 1.25 ERA to along with 26Ks, eight walks, and a 0.80 WHIP. Javier whipped on the Angels for five shutout innings back on April 18th, only to follow that up with seven scoreless against the then-hot Seattle Mariners at Minute Maid Park.
Javier’s 4-seam fastball has been electric this year (.185 OPP BA) and his slider has been a nearly unhittable punch-out pitch (.050 OPP BA). The righty from the Dominican Republican has evolved from a nice prospect into a top-of-the-rotation fixture for Dusty Baker and Brent Strom. Let’s hope he can keep this up throughout the summer – he might just be an All-Star by then.
Who’s Not
Kyle Tucker
Tuck isn’t clicking right now. Over the past two weeks, Kyle Tucker is hitting .182, with a .528 OPS to go along with 11 strikeouts and only one home run. The homerun pitch? A 62 MPH pitch from Angels catcher Anthony Bemboom.
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Tucker isn’t all that far off when you dive into the numbers. Tucker is facing the shift 90% of the time, but that doesn’t seem like that’s the problem. The outfielder isn’t pulling the ball all that much, is maintaining a high exit-velocity on his and is barreling the ball (9.6%) more than he did last year. This early season slump might be more linked to him hitting the fastball. Last year, Tucker hit .362 against the fastball and was walking 7.9% if the time– he’s only hit .182 against the fastball for April and walked 6.8% of the time. If he’s not chasing off-speed and is able locate opponent’s fastballs, he’s a monster that’s gonna rake.
Tucker might have turned a small corner this weekend. He got three walks on Friday, then went 2-3 with another walk on Sunday against the AL Champion Tampa Rays. Showing more plate discipline should generate more pitches in the zone that he can whack.
Tucker has been great on the bases and has made some big strides as a defensive outfielder. I feel like Tucker is close to getting hot at the plate and when he does (when, not if) this team will jump up in offensive production. It’s only a matter of time.