Astros: A honest take on the ALDS
Welcome back, Astros postseason baseball, my old friend. It has been too long.
Well, well, well. The Astros are about to battle the Boston Red Sox in Game 1 of the ALDS in just a few hours.
This is gonna to be fun!
As I look forward to this series, and hopefully two more to follow, the Astros find themselves in a great position. AL West champions for starters and the third-best record in baseball. That is no small accomplishment.
Is it the ultimate goal?
But still downright impressive. Winning baseball games at this level is not easy.
This leads me to my take. Hot or cold take? I am not sure. Naive or realistic? I will leave that open for interpretation.
ASTROS ALDS TAKE: WIN OR LOSE, THIS ASTROS SEASON IS WORTH REMEMBERING FOR A LONG TIME. IT WAS A (MODEST) SUCCESS.
Before you hit the ever-tempting “X” in your respective browser, let me explain this “take”. For one, the Astros only have an 15.3% of winning the World Series per Fangraphs. That is still a rather, um, low probability.
And by golly, I will take it!
Call me crazy, but 15.3% chance of winning the World Series is definitely better than zero. Like me, you would likely take 0.001% over a flat 0%.
Houston’s odds of winning the ALDS currently stands at 52.7%. That is much better than 15.3%.
Will this ALDS with the Red Sox define the Astros?
Maybe. Maybe not. There is no definite way of knowing today.
Regardless, the Astros’ 2017 season is worth keeping in the memory vault. It has already been a success; a modest success.