Astros: Not right away, but a change is needed in the rotation
The Astros have a good top of the rotation trio, but Musgrove and Fiers have struggled at times this year.
The Houston Astros have the second best record in the major leagues at 21-11. They have done so with high batting averages with RISP, great bullpen, and a bounce back season from Dallas Keuchel. The biggest element to the season is how the Astros have handled playing versus the Rangers, winning the first three games of the series. This is the team we thought they were this offseason.
With Collin McHugh still shut down with a dead arm, there has been a hole in the rotation. He tried to pitch with the Fresno Grizzlies in his first attempt, but he left with elbow tightness per Kaplan. McHugh is probably the last piece needed for the rotation to be more consistent. Hopefully, we will see this change.
McHugh’s healthy return could be big!
According to Jake Kaplan, McHugh did throw yesterday from 45-feet. It’s the start of a long process, but McHugh will play catch every other day for about a week. Depending on his body adjusts to his that, he will try to start increasing his workload. We talked about what McHugh means to the team on last night’s Talking Stros.
It is assumed that Joe Musgrove would keep his job when McHugh returns, but what about Mike Fiers? Let’s back up a second, what about Fiers now? This year, Fiers has a 5.64 ERA with a 1-1 record while striking out 26 hitters in 30 1/3 innings.
Fiers not on Fire?
For someone who doesn’t throw hard, he does have a lot of strikeouts. Granted, not much is expected out of your fifth starter in the rotation. Fiers was great in 2015 following the trade to Houston with a 2-1 record and 3.32 ERA while striking out 59 hitters in 62 2/3. Despite winning 11 games last year, his 4.48 ERA was his second highest of his career.
Part of Fiers success has stemmed from his deceptive delivery and breaking pitches. This year, he has lost a few ticks off the fastball. Bottom line, you are not going to win too many games when the starting pitcher gives up four homers. That’s what happened on Tuesday night as he allowed five runs in the first four innings.
To Fiers credit, he did stay in and pitch six innings and strike out nine hitters last Tuesday. With his performance, he has bought himself a few more starts. The Astros can’t continue to come back from behind to win all year. Should Fiers struggle in his next two starts, it might be time to look for a change. He only lasted five innings giving up two solo homers yesterday. In his two starts last week, he gave up six homers.
Jeff Luhnow was on Sports Talk 790 recently and said that if a change is needed in the rotation, it will come from the 25-man roster. One option makes the most sense, but let’s take a look at all three options.
The options to replace Fiers if needed.
Chris Devenski (2-1, 2.29 ERA, 35 K’s in 19 1/3 innings) – This is an intriguing idea, but you would be taking away from a big strength of this team. Devenski can come in and bail a pitcher out of a bases loaded no out situation or pitch three innings late in a game. He is better than Andrew Miller, and we saw his value last year in the World Series. One could argue that Devenski has struggled more with the increased exposure as the season goes.
(Not Likely)
Michael Feliz (1-0, 2.25 ERA, 13 K’s in 12 innings) – This could happen, but he has not started a game with the Astros in his short career. He has not started a game in the minors since 2015. While he has pitched more than one innings three times this year, he has not pitched more than two innings.
(Not Likely)
Brad Peacock (2-0, 1.35 ERA, 20 K’s in 13 1/3 innings) – This is the most likely possibility for the Astros. Like Feliz, Peacock has not pitched more than two innings in any of his games. Peacock has rejuvenated his career out of the bullpen this year, adding a few miles per hour on the fastball. However, if you move him into the rotation, he could lose the extra velocity he’s using now.
A look at other candidates.
With Musgrove and Fiers struggles this year, look for the Astros to go out and make a trade soon. There does not seem to be anyone ready at Triple-A. Francis Martes has 12 strikeouts and 12 walks in 12 innings with the Grizzlies. Once his control returns, he could be an option. David Paulino is yet to pitch for Fresno. Brady Rodgers just had Tommy John surgery so that he will be out of action for a while.
Mike Hauschild was returned to the Astros. However, he gave up nine runs Saturday and struggled with the Rangers. Edison Frias was released yesterday after he allowed seven runs in four innings to raise his Triple-A ERA to 6.91. The better pitching prospects are done the road outside of Martes and Paulino.
Next: Astros Countdown: Top Five Individual Pitches
While the Astros have been scoring runs this year, but you can’t expect to come from behind too often. Fiers and Musgrove will get a few more starts. We need a plan B pretty soon. If it is Peacock, we need to start stretching him out. Either way, the team is playing great baseball!
***Stats from ESPN team stats and Baseball-Reference***