Astros: 5 Candidates for Regression in 2022

Mandatory Credit: John David Mercer-USA TODAY Sports
Mandatory Credit: John David Mercer-USA TODAY Sports /
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Mandatory Credit: Troy Taormina-USA TODAY Sports
Mandatory Credit: Troy Taormina-USA TODAY Sports /

Jose Altuve – .278, 31 HR, 83 RBI

Jose Altuve has 31 home runs in each of his last two full seasons, but the 31 in 2021 took 601 at-bats while the 31 in 2019 took 500. While Altuve’s actual slugging percentage was .489 last season, his expected slugging was only .420, suggesting closer to 25 home runs than thirty one.

Altuve also had a precipitous drop in batting average from .298 in 2019 to .278 last season and the expected batting average for 2021 was even lower at .261.

Outside of the pandemic season of 2020, Altuve has never been within 15 points of .261 (.276 in his rookie season), but now Altuve is 2+ calendar years removed from batting in the .300 range (.298 in 2019).

So, it’s natural to think the .270 range may be the new normal for the second baseman that will turn 32 in May.

Next. Fan Perspective on an Expanded Postseason. dark

Other Astros’ News:

Assistant trainer Lee Meyer has been hired away by the Miami Marlins, where he becomes the team’s head athletic trainer. Meyer was with Houston for five seasons.